Preliminary forecast updates later. Not a forecast for snow for lovers at first, but it could get very cold and snowy later in the period!!
METJEFFUK.COM Autumn and Winter forecast 14th September 2018 updated 15-11-18
Severe winter forecast or not? The coming winter will have many factors running i.e. Colder than normal SST and the fact that we are in a El Niño year Other Factors QBO, Polar Magnetic Shift - plus a solar minimum all goes for a severe winter, having said that but this does not atomically mean we will have a severe winter it can also go the other way to wet and windy.
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Hi and welcome to my Autumn and Winter Weather Forecast/ Prediction for 2018/19 If you are a regular viewer you will know that my spring and summer forecast for the most part was spot on, just one two blips so I am quite please with the way it went. So here is my next prediction as always I will go back at the end of every month and give a review of my forecast. VIDEO COMING SOON!
Right so here is my 2018/19 METJEFFUK.COM Autumn and Winter forecast today is the 14th of September 2018 Oh please remember this forecast is what I think might happen METJEFFUK.COM will be not be responsible for any inaccuracy’s in the forecast.
Temperature: Average Precipitation: Average October First Half
This month looks starting off rather stormy, wet and mild temps around the 15c/59f but it will feel cooler then this in the rain. As we go in to say the middle of the month I think we will start to see high pressure building over the UK , It will feel rather warm by day but sharp frosts by night, fog will linger in prone areas such as the vale of York etc.
October Second half
With High pressure moving north west of the UK a strong and cool NE wind will take over expect day temps around 11C/52F cold by nigh will frost widely across the country
Temperature: Average Precipitation: Average November First Half
A cold start to the month with easterly winds, low pressure in the south will make it feel even colder, rain a and gales will affect the southern districts will local flooding possible we may see the rain turning to sleet or snow Temperature: Below Average Precipitation: Average
November Second Half
After heavy rain and some snow in the north I expect to see High pressure return so a dryer period cool and sunny by day but very frosty at night freezing fog will be an issue also the east and south coasts can expect heavy wintry showers some snow is likely.
Temperature: Below Average Precipitation: Above average
December First Half
Temperature: Average Precipitation: Above average
With High pressure moving away low pressure will take over I'm expecting very stormy weather with winds possibly storm force at times with all that it will be mild but with some brief cold spells too
December Second Half Temperature: Below Average Precipitation: Above average From mid month I am expecting a very cold spell with northerly winds and widespread wintry showers giving heavy snow fall in places, but later after near blizzard conditions in the north it will turn milder so at this stage I'm going for a Green Christmas but this may change stay tuned for updates
January First Half Temperature: Below Average Precipitation: Above Average
After a rather stormy mild period the weather is set to turn a lot colder with northern blocking and east or north east winds the beast will return! so very cold heavy snow showers or longer period's of snow possible.
January Second Half The cold continues with a biting east wind more snow in the forecast with possible Blizzard conditions in the south west Temperature: Severe Cold! Precipitation: Above average February
First Half Temperature: Severe Cold! Precipitation: Above average
A bitterly cold start to the month high over the country keeps it dry but very cold and frosty becoming milder in the SW after a period of snow.
February Second Half Temperature: Severe Cold! Precipitation: Average
After a brief mild spell i am expecting very cold air to returning from the east. snow showers in the east will spread to most other areas giving moderate snowfall in places.
March 2019 Temperature: Severe Cold! Precipitation: Above Average
I think if I am right March 2019 will go down in the history books as being one of the coldest and snowiest March on record - Very cold air from Siberia combined with low pressure, with the jet stream well south I expect more snowfall, but it will be the cold that will affect most people in the biting north east wind. The cold theme continues with more snowfall especially in South West Britain with a very deep low pressure system moving up the English Channel giving Blizzards conditions.
So there you have it the metjeffuk.com 2018/19 winter forecast we will at the end of the March see how accurate or not I have been of course I don't expect it to go week by week as a forecast but the general theme of the forecast will one of a mild start and very cold end, we will see. Thanks again for reading check the video ( coming out soon) love to hear your comments on my blog page, and please don't forget too click on the adverts but as always................. Whatever your weather enjoy it!
Jeff Jacobs Chief Weather Forecaster Metjeffuk.com