This is from the BBC Weather /Met office Not metjeffuk.com but they are in agreement with metjeffuk.com February is looking a mostly cold or very cold month and snow is the forecast time and time again.
This From BBC Weather Monthly Outlook for February 2018 Summary Longer days, but colder weather!? Last week saw January 2018 draw to a close, and although many parts of the country ended the month on a particularly cold note, statistics for January show that, on the whole, the month was fairly unremarkable. Temperatures across many southern areas were slightly milder than average, as opposed to northern areas that were a touch colder than the norm. Some western areas were wetter than usual, but the far northeast of Scotland was distinctly drier. On the whole though, when averaged out across the UK the statistics paint a very average picture.
Looking ahead, it will doubtless be a relief to many that over the course of the next month, daylight hours increase by around 2 hours across the UK. Sadly for some though, as we make our way further into February and towards March, although the prospect of some drier and brighter weather might also be a welcome late winter boost, the air of optimism might be somewhat diminished by the likelihood that the UK will often be influenced by swathes of cold air invading from the east and north. Read on to find out the details of the month ahead...
BBC WEATHER Monday 5 February—Sunday 11 February
Mainly cold, often dry, but with snow at times! Monday will begin on a frosty note, but through daylight hours, most regions will enjoy plenty of dry weather, light winds and brighter spells. The exceptions will be southeast of England, where a raw north-easterly breeze will blow in wintry showers that will leave some accumulating snow on the hills of Kent, and a few light flurries of snow that may feed in from the east across central areas. On Monday night, an Atlantic weather front will push into Northern Ireland and make progress south-eastwards towards Scotland, northern England, Wales and the Midlands by Tuesday morning. The front will impinge on the cold air further east, meaning that many northern areas can expect snowfall. Further southeast on Tuesday, most parts will enjoy a fine, cold day, and only later will the weather front introduce the some patchy and mainly light evening snowfall. Through the week, the Azores High (an anticyclone anchored over the Azores) is expected to extend towards the UK, influencing our weather, Indeed, on Wednesday pressure looks likely to build in again across most parts, resulting in another cold yet mainly dry day with just the odd flurry of sleet of snow for some coastal areas of eastern England and also around Irish Sea coasts. Wednesday night into Thursday is expected to yield another Atlantic weather front that will round the top of the Azores high, bringing some snow to the northwest, but as the weather front sinks southwards towards the rest of the UK through Thursday, the influence of the high pressure will likely fragment any precipitation across southern areas. Later on Thursday, brighter, colder and showery weather is expected to once again feed in from the northwest. Throughout the rest of the period, it looks likely that conditions will remain cold, with the influence of the Azores high continuing to be temporarily interrupted by incursions of weak Atlantic weather fronts moving across the UK from the northwest, bringing the risk of further wintry weather.
BBC WEATHER Monday 12 February—Sunday 18 February
If you love cold weather, happy days ahead! Sometimes the middle of February can bring an unexpected theme of romance, and if you like your weather cold, you might fall in love with the forecast for this period! The usual forecasting computer models are showing a reasonable levels of agreement that this period will begin on a similar theme to how the first half of February ended - namely that the Azores high will greatly influence the UK's weather. The position on the high pressure system will tend to mean that winds are initially dominant from the north or northwest much of the time. This will likely mean that weather conditions will often be cold, with a good deal of dry weather for most areas too, with a propensity for frosty nights. At times though, we are likely to see further Atlantic weather systems temporarily interrupt the influence of the Azores high, bringing briefly milder and wetter interludes. Such milder interludes will always bring the risk of snowfall as the milder air associated with fronts runs into the cold air that will so often be found over the UK. Later in the period, models are also increasingly showing signs that the high pressure system centred over the Azores may interact with high pressure positioned over Scandinavia. Such an eventuality would result in further cold and often dry weather, with frosty nights. The intensity of the cold will likely become greater with time though as very cold, continental air filters in over the UK driven by biting easterly winds. Snow showers may also become prevalent across mainly eastern regions of the UK at times.
Monday 19 February—Sunday 4 March Still cold, but possibly turning drier for all? As we move through the last few days of winter and into early spring, weather forecasting models are indicating that pressure will likely remain high across the UK, and at this time of year, such a configuration will result in cold, predominantly dry days and frosty nights, with the risk of occasional sleet and snow showers near windward coasts. The exact position of the high will be crucial in determining the amount of cloud cover we can expect, and at this stage is rather uncertain. The predictions offered by the standard weather forecasting models are also backed up by other specialised forecasting models, increasing confidence in the aforementioned outcome. One such model is involved in predicting the behaviour of the stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere directly above troposphere, the latter being where we live - at the surface of the Earth! On occasion, certain polar regions of the stratosphere can become anomalously warm.During such an occurrence, the jet stream in the troposphere that drives low pressure weather systems our way can be caused to slow and meander huge distances from the poles the the tropics and back. Such an eventuality can lead to what meteorologists sometimes refer to as a 'blocked pattern', in effect bringing slow moving areas of high pressure in the vicinity of the UK. At time of writing, the model in question was predicting a localised warming of the stratosphere which will likely result in high pressure dominating the UK weather in the closing weeks of winter. All the evidence is pointing towards a cold end to February and start of March!
From BBC Weather Monday 5 February Published at 10:00
Create your own unique website with customizable templates.