The metjeffuk autumn and winter forecast update 2016/17
SW England will see the worst winter for 5 decades with possible frequent blizzards! The written winter forecast 2016/17 month by month here later today.
Spring and Summer forecast video 2016
Dated the 7th March 2016
Here at metjeffuk.com we like to give the long range forecast in the most plain and simple way possible easy talking straight to the point forecasting without the waffle. But if you want the science behind it I will be doing one especially for you very soon.
The summer of 2016 could it be the hottest for 40years?
My forecast is based on many factors coming in to place which I will not in to detail here, but the most significate will be the slow cooling of the eastern pacific, if this happens (and my forecast is based on this) it usually allows high than normal heights to build over the UK with the air coming off the an hot continuant It’s the recipe for a dryer and hotter summer.
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SPRING HEADLINE
I’m forecasting colder than average spring with frequent cold spells giving snow (over high ground) and frost in places
March
Temps: Below average
Rainfall: Below average
Weather Warnings: Hill Snow
This month will start off cold and wintry with snow showers or longer periods of snow over high ground mostly in the north, will also be very windy at times too as we go to the end of the month I expecting high than normal heights over Scandinavia with a cold easterly feed coming from Siberia so a very cold end to March with the possibility of significate snow in places.
April
Temps: Below average
Rainfall: below average
Weather Warnings: Hill Snow
After a cold and unsettled start to the month it looks high pressure will build over the country settling things down with spring like days but hard frosts at night. Towards to end of the month I am expecting it to more unsettled with rain or drizzle at times.
May
Temps: average
Rainfall: average
Weather Warnings: Hill Snow over Scotland
So May starts unsettled with rain followed by wintry showers giving snow over Scottish mountains but high pressure will build from the south giving a mostly fine end the month.
SUMMER HEADLINE
2016 marks the 40th anniversary of the greatest heatwave in the record-breaking summer of 1976
I’m forecasting a warmer than normal summer about +2C above the CET Temperature with an average temperature this summer of 18c/64F +2c above the average CET (2001–2008) of 16.3C with extremes of 35c/95F at times throughout the summer.
June
Temps: Above average
Rainfall: Average
Weather Warnings: Thunderstorms
Unsettled still over Scotland and the north of England and Ireland but high building again with more of a southerly wind and temperatures rising, with this expect thunderstorms to drift up from France with some these severe with local flooding possible.
July
Temps: Above Average
Rainfall: Below average
Weather Warnings: Severe Thunderstorms/local flooding/ High Temps
Low pressure seems likely to move in from the Atlantic giving a windy spell of weather it will turn cooler in the north, but staying warm and muggier with thundery outbreaks, in the south - later becoming very warm if not hot with this come the chance of some very heavy afternoon thunderstorms. Temps up to 32C 90F
August
Temps: Above Average
Rainfall: Below average
Weather Warnings: Severe local Thunderstorms/ High Temps
Somewhat cooler start to the month but the Azores high moving in-so dry and sunny mid-month and very warm or hot temps could get up to 38C/ 100F and these conditions lasting to the end of the month when we could quite possibly see a hose pipe ban!
So there you have it the summer of 2016 the hottest for 40years!
We are updating the forecast over the coming month’s thanks for taking the time to read my predictions.
Hope the sun shines for you but….
Whatever the weather enjoy it!
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