The coming winter will have many factors running i.e. Colder than normal SST La Niña is the cold ENSO phase while El Niño is the warm phase. there is a difference in temperatures, there are also pressure changes.and the fact that we are in a LA NiñA year Other Factors QBO, Polar Magnetic Shift - THIS COULD mean we will have a severe winter AHEAD
September
Largely steeled month but with some rainy periods to temps around normal but some warm spells but also some very cold spells with snow likely of the Scottish hills.
October 24
A cold start to October with night frosts High Pressure with the weather dry this pattern will continual albeit with the occasional low pressure blip turning much colder at the end of the month.
November
Will start mild and very windy with mobile westerly airstream High pressure may settle over the UK briefly.
on to mid-month when we may have brief cold snap some of the showers may be wintry with some snow showers over high ground in the north it will gradually become more settled for a time as high than normal heights build from the North east.
Towards the end of the month, I'm expecting a deep area of low pressure to develop, and this will move into the southwest it will then become very stormy winds up to 80 mph + and it will feel cold despite a southerly wind.
Temps: average
Rainfall: average
Weather Warnings: Severe Winds
Winter
December
Will start off wet and cold with some wintry conditions over the high ground in the north, it will however become more settled as a large high extends from the continent around mid-month (14th 15th) the high will later move south allowing a trough to move south introducing much colder air with wintry showers frosts at night, it is likely that High pressure will once again build over the UK so cold days and severe frosts at night as for Christmas going for a an unsettled one cold enough for snow heavy in places a bitter NE.
festive period.
Temps: Average, mild at first Turning very cold and snowy
Rainfall/ Snowfall / rain : above normal
Weather warnings: Severe Frosts at night
January
After a quit period with High pressure the weather will turn very stormy with widespread floods across the country and as the air gets colder this will turn to snow it will become very wintry, giving very icy conditions
Mid-Month
Towards say mid-month I am expecting more settled conditions to develop with a large area of high pressure over the continent but this will give once again severe frosts at night - I am also predicting a strong SSW and this will have a major factor over our weather with the large area of high pressure moving over Scandinavia and this introducing very cold Siberian air.
Temps: below normal
Rainfall/ Snowfall: Above normal
Weather Warnings: turning much colder
February
Will start off very cold with easterly winds and snow flurries but in to the second week I am expecting a very deep area of low pressure to move in off the Atlantic as this hits the very cold air I am expecting a major blizzard to affect most of the UK and Ireland it will briefly turn less cold but the overall theme for the rest of the month will cold or very cold and snowy.
Temps: below normal
Rainfall /Snowfall : above normal
Weather warnings: Stormy Blizzards
I will be giving updates throughout the winter here at Metjeffuk
So keep coming back.
But whatever your weather enjoy it!
bye for now
Jeff
The Metjeffuk 2024/25 Autumn & Winter forecast dated 15-09-2024
Largely steeled month but with some rainy periods to temps around normal but some warm spells but also some very cold spells with snow likely of the Scottish hills.
October 24
A cold start to October with night frosts High Pressure with the weather dry this pattern will continual albeit with the occasional low pressure blip turning much colder at the end of the month.
November
Will start mild and very windy with mobile westerly airstream High pressure may settle over the UK briefly.
on to mid-month when we may have brief cold snap some of the showers may be wintry with some snow showers over high ground in the north it will gradually become more settled for a time as high than normal heights build from the North east.
Towards the end of the month, I'm expecting a deep area of low pressure to develop, and this will move into the southwest it will then become very stormy winds up to 80 mph + and it will feel cold despite a southerly wind.
Temps: average
Rainfall: average
Weather Warnings: Severe Winds
Winter
December
Will start off wet and cold with some wintry conditions over the high ground in the north, it will however become more settled as a large high extends from the continent around mid-month (14th 15th) the high will later move south allowing a trough to move south introducing much colder air with wintry showers frosts at night, it is likely that High pressure will once again build over the UK so cold days and severe frosts at night as for Christmas going for a an unsettled one cold enough for snow heavy in places a bitter NE.
festive period.
Temps: Average, mild at first Turning very cold and snowy
Rainfall/ Snowfall / rain : above normal
Weather warnings: Severe Frosts at night
January
After a quit period with High pressure the weather will turn very stormy with widespread floods across the country and as the air gets colder this will turn to snow it will become very wintry, giving very icy conditions
Mid-Month
Towards say mid-month I am expecting more settled conditions to develop with a large area of high pressure over the continent but this will give once again severe frosts at night - I am also predicting a strong SSW and this will have a major factor over our weather with the large area of high pressure moving over Scandinavia and this introducing very cold Siberian air.
Temps: below normal
Rainfall/ Snowfall: Above normal
Weather Warnings: turning much colder
February
Will start off very cold with easterly winds and snow flurries but in to the second week I am expecting a very deep area of low pressure to move in off the Atlantic as this hits the very cold air I am expecting a major blizzard to affect most of the UK and Ireland it will briefly turn less cold but the overall theme for the rest of the month will cold or very cold and snowy.
Temps: below normal
Rainfall /Snowfall : above normal
Weather warnings: Stormy Blizzards
I will be giving updates throughout the winter here at Metjeffuk
So keep coming back.
But whatever your weather enjoy it!
bye for now
Jeff
The Metjeffuk 2024/25 Autumn & Winter forecast dated 15-09-2024
