metjeffuk.com
  • Autunm and winter forecast 24/25
  • FARMERS & GROWERS FREE 7 DAY FORECAST
  • HOME
  • HELPING METJEFFUK
  • LINKS PAGE
  • ARCHIVE OF LONG RANGE FORECASTS
  • December 2015 Statistics
    • r11
  • Forecast or Not!
  • All About Weather
    • MINI ICE AGE OR NOT?
  • ABOUT METJEFFUK / CONTACT
    • 2020/21 Autumn and Winter forecast
  • CONTACT
    • Spring and Summer Long rang Forecast 2021 >
      • 2017-18 Autumn and Winter Forecast
  • Metjeffuk video's
  • Martin Jennings Memorial Run Weather
    • Privacy Policy
  • Metjeffuk Spring /Summer fore cast
    • SOUTH WEST'S WEATHER FORECAST
    • storm page >
      • SPACE NEWS >
        • 21/22 Autumn Winter forecast
  • SSW
  • Spring Summer LRF 2022
  • Winter 23-24 forecast
Picture
Picture





So could we be heading for coldest winter for 55years  and why?
​
 

​
 SSW  rapid warming (up to about 50 ­°C in just a couple of days) in the stratosphere, between 10 km and 50 km up.
​
You probably have heard  of the  jet stream  this helps to steer Atlantic weather systems towards the UK.  there are other jet streams high up in our atmosphere in both the northern and southern hemisphere which circumnavigate the Earth from west to east. One of these, the Polar Night Jet, circles the Arctic.
Sometimes the usual westerly flow can be disrupted by natural weather patterns or disturbances in the lower part of the atmosphere, such as a large area of high pressure in the northern hemisphere. This causes the Polar Jet to wobble and these wobbles, or waves, break just like waves on the beach. When they break they can be strong enough to weaken or even reverse the westerly winds and swing them to easterlies. If this happens, air in the stratosphere starts to collapse in to the polar cap and compress. As it compresses it warms, hence the stratospheric warming.
We have been study the start of a new SSW this coupled with other factors such as the QBO sea ice sea temperatures  la Nina and many other factors too as lead to  us believe we are heading in the  to coldest winter probably since 1963 (55years ago) This may or not happen but one thing we are confidant of it will be a very cold Winter.

Picture
Picture
Flag Counter
Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.